Friday, March 24, 2006

Trusting the Russian Bear, Beware


another critical point about what Saddam did in the days leading up to Iraqi Freedom. Intelligence information takes on its greatest value when it's acted upon, leading to changes in governmental policies or military force deployments. Saddam did nothing with the information provided by the Russians, believing that his friends in Moscow, Beijing, Paris (and elsewhere) would bail him out in the UNSC, and prevent a U.S.-led invasion.

It's also worth noting that this wasn't the first time Saddam dismissed information on U.S. military plans. In early 1991, the Russians offered a similar pitch, detailing American preparations for Desert Storm. Saddam also ignored that data, convinced that the U.S. lacked the will to actually liberate Kuwait, and crush his military forces. In both cases, Saddam ignored intelligence information, at his own peril...'Spook 86' on formerspook blog.


Spook 86 isn't all the convinced that the Russian Ambassador did anything but pass on Russian intelligence on American troop movements, which is normal spooky business. The story is that the Russians aren't to be trusted which one would think would have been old news after the 1991 war. Iraq was a member of the Warsaw Pact; collective and mutual defense was a fundamental part of that organization. The Russians not only left town in 1991; the Soviet system collapsed and the hammer and sickle came down.

Spook 86 is a very smart guy. His blog suggests that his sign is a pseudonym for a good reason, that he used to work in one of the agencies now subsumed under the Director of National Intelligence. Check Spook 86 out; he's a little too sharp and detailed in his writing for someone wholly on the outside.

Luther

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